Let’s C…A Unique Way To Pick A Winner In The Belmont
This week pundits are offering all kinds of methods for picking the winner of Saturday’s Belmont Stakes including dosage indexes, Beyer speed figures, Thorographs, Mazur Indexes, Centers of Distribution, Professional or stamina wings in the DP and last if not least if it rains make sure you know each horses Tomlinson Rating. Now I have been following the nags for 40+ years. My first horse handicapping experience came back in 1965 when I was detained and cited for underage gambling at Northfield Park by a State of Ohio gaming official. The worst part of the experience was that my parents thought I was attending my after prom party that night. Old pops went into quite the tirade when the “official” letter arrived from Columbus warning him of a hefty fine if they ever caught me again placing wagers on any four legged creatures within the state’s borders. I remember being only slightly deterred and simply switching my allegiance to old Ascot Park and Thistledown. So after all these years I have learned that betting the horses day in and day out is a losing experience and horse racing will never be a fair game until they start telling us what the horses weigh. That still doesn’t stop me from putting a little something on the Triple Crown races including Saturday’s 141st running of the Belmont Stakes. The exotic pools are huge and there are a lot people betting into them who have no idea where to buy a Racing Form let alone how to read one. Today on a lighter note I want to share with you my secret Alphabet Formula for picking the winner of Saturday’s third and final race of this year’s Triple Crown.
The Alphabet Theory is fairly easy to compute once I give you my secret formula which has taken many years to come up with. The table below will get us started.
| Letter | Times Won | Winning% |
| C | 20 | 14% |
| S | 17 | 12% |
| P | 11 | 8% |
| H | 10 | 7% |
| A | 10 | 7% |
| B | 10 | 7% |
Now comes the “secret”part. As you can see from the chart above a horse who’s name begins with the letter “C” has won the Belmont 14% of the time. That would make Chocolate Candy and Charitable Man our pre-race favorites. Horses who’s name begin with the letter “S” have won 12% of the time so that would make Summer Bird our third choice. This year there are no “P”, “H” or “A” horses and only one “B” horse, that being Nick Zito’s Brave Victory. Now as far as a betting strategy goes why don’t we box these four (1-4-6-10) with Kentucky Derby winner Mine That Bird (7). A $1.00 Exacta Box will run you $20.00, a $1.00 Trifecta Box will cost $60.00 and if you are feeling REALLY lucky and cash heavy buy yourself a $1.00 Superfecta ticket boxing the same five entries and that wager will set you back another $120.00. So there you have it. If probable race favorite Mine That Bird fails to hit the board and the other four entries do the good news will be that you will have made a lot of money but the bad news is that The Alphabet Theory will no longer be a SECRET!!! Good Luck and thanks for listening.