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The Wiz’s 2009 Oscar Predictions

February 22nd, 2009

Supporting Actress - Kate Winslet

Supporting Actor - Heath Ledger

Actor - Sean Penn

Actress - Meryl Streep

Movie - Slumdog Millionaire

Academy Awards

“Slumdog” 1 to 2 Favorite This Year

February 19th, 2009

Sunday night about an hour drive north of me all the big names in Hollywood will have their annual get together inside The Kodak Theater. Several people will see their lives change dramatically both socially and financially. The winners will automatically jump on to the “A” guest list in tinsel town and I don’t think anyone can put a dollar value on winning one of those little gold statues but one would have to believe it is worth millions in future parts and endorsements. This will be my 13th year of picking the winners in the top five categories and I am very proud of my 39 of 60 (65%) winning percentage especially since I am not much of a moviegoer. The only movie up for best picture this year that I have seen is Slumdog Millionaire and I have to say it deserves the 1 to 2 favoritism that our friends over at America’s Line have slapped on it. Below I will list the nominees in the Best Movie, Best Actor and Actress as well as the best supporting actress and actor categories with America’s current odds to win each respective category.

BEST PICTURE ODDS
Slumdog Millionaire 1/2
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button 4/1
Milk 8/1
Frost/Nixon 12/1
The Reader 15/1

My twelve year record for picking the Best Picture winner is 8/12=67%

BEST ACTOR ODDS
Mickey Rourke Even
Sean Penn 2/1
Frank Langella 8/1
Brad Pitt 12/1
Richard Jenkins 15/1

My twelve year record for picking the Best Actor winner is 9/12=75%

BEST ACTRESS ODDS
Kate Winslet 6/5
Anne Hathaway 8/5
Meryl Streep 5/1
Melissa Leo 12/1
Angelina Jolie 15/1

My twelve year record for picking the Best Actress is 8/12=67%

SUPPORTING ACTOR ODDS
Heath Ledger 1/10
Philip Seymour 12/1
Josh Brolin 12/1
Michael Shannon 12/1
Robert Downey Jr 25/1

My twelve year record for picking the Best Supporting Actor is 6/12=50%

SUPPORTING ACTRESS ODDS
Penelope Cruz 4/5
Viola Davis 3/1
Marisa Tomei 5/1
Taraji P. Henson 8/1
Amy Adams 12/1

My twelve year record for picking the Best Supporting Actress is 8/12=67%

My 2009 picks will be posted Sunday morning at www.wizofodds.com Thanks for listening and let’s chat next Friday.

Stat of the Day: The film with the most overall nominations has also taken down the Best Picture 19 of the last 24 years (79%).

A Bettor Approach, Academy Awards