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Wagering On NFL Regular Season Win Totals

August 2nd, 2009

When I was in Las Vegas week before last I had a mild interest in wagering on a few NFL team regular season win totals. I have charted below both the AFC and NFC 2009 numbers from a Lucky’s Race and Sports Book:

NFC TEAM Wins Over Odds Under Odds
Arizona 8 1/2 Even -120
Atlanta 8 1/2 Even -120
Carolina 8 1/2 Even -120
Chicago 9 +110 -130
Dallas 9 -135 +115
Detroit 5 +135 -155
Green Bay 8 1/2 -120 Even
Minnesota 9 -135 +115
New Orleans 9 Even -120
New York 10 +115 -135
Philadelphia 9 1/2 -135 +115
San Francisco 7 1/2 Even -120
Seattle 7 1/2 -140 +120
St Louis 5 1/2 -160 +140
Tampa Bay 6 -140 +120
Washington 8 -110 -110

I took the Lions and over 5 at +135. The public is very down on Detroit right now so being the contrarian I am I went the other way. I also took the Eagles over 9 1/2 and laid -135. I believe if McNabb stays healthy they will be a Super Bowl contender which means at least a 10 win season. The last NFC team I wagered on was Tampa Bay to win under 6 games at odds of +120. Total amount wagered $335 to possibly win $355.  Now let’s take a look at the AFC.

AFC TEAM Wins Over Odds Under Odds
Baltimore 9 -115 -105
Buffalo 7 1/2 -125 +105
Cincinnati 6 1/2 -115 -105
Cleveland 6 1/2 -110 -110
Denver 7 +120 -140
Houston 8 -115 -105
Indianapolis 10 -120 Even
Jacksonville 8 -120 Even
Kansas City 6 Even -120
Miami 7 -110 -110
New England 11 1/2 -115 -105
New York 7 -140 +120
Oakland 5 1/2 -125 +105
Pittsburgh 11 +130 -150
San Diego 10 -105 -115
Tennessee 9 -120 Even

I wagered on five AFC teams including 3 overs and 2 unders. My first pick is the Bengals over 6 1/2 wins at -115. I can’t believe the oddsmakers have Cincy at the same win total as the woeful Browns. My next over is the Chiefs at even money to win more than 6 games. I like the changes KC made in the offseason. Putting Matt Cassel at the offensive controls will make this squad one of this year’s surprises. The last over I took was on the Chargers at -105 to win more than 10 games. It is now or never for this group and I look for them to avoid last year’s sluggish start and 11 wins is not out of the question for this bunch.  Everybody loves last year’s surprise team the Miami Dolphins but I am taking the under 7 wins at -110. I love the Tuna and his organizational skills but I believe this group may get caught reading last year’s headlines. I am also going against another public team the New York Jets. I am taking +120 and the under 7 wins. In the AFC I have wagered $530 to possibly win $520. Just as in the NFC I have held the juice to a minimum which I believe is key to making money on these wagers. Either way these bets should take up a very small amount of your regular season NFL bankroll. I will have a lot of fun with these picks but I have never ever bet any serious money on this type of futures because a lot can happen over a seventeen week season.


A Bettor Approach, Football, NFL, Sports Betting

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